Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 19th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada jsmith, Avalanche Canada

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Very large persistent slab avalanches remain likely to human trigger, especially at treeline and above.

Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Numerous naturally triggered wet loose avalanches up to size 3 (very large) were reported on sunny aspects at all elevations on Monday.

Snowpack Summary

High freezing levels overnight will result in no overnight re-freeze of the snow surface. As a result, the avalanche danger will rise rapidly throughout the day.

A weak layer of surface hoar is down 40-60 cm in isolated, sheltered areas. A widespread crust with sugary facets above is down 80-200 cm. Both of these layers remain the primary concern for triggering large persistent slab avalanches.

Cornices have become large and looming, and are more likely to fail during periods of warming.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy. 10 to 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 2500 m.

Wednesday

Sunny. 5 to 10 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2400 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with isolated flurries, 0 to 3 cm of snow (above 1400m). 30 to 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1700 m.

Friday

Cloudy with isolated flurries, 0 to 5 cm of snow(above 1300 m). 5 to 10 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1600 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Keep in mind that human triggering potential persists as natural avalanching tapers off.
  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
  • If triggered loose wet avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Cornice failure may trigger large avalanches.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A crust with weak facets above is down 80 to 200 cm. Steep or convex terrain features with a shallow or thin to thick snowpack at treeline and above are the most likely places to trigger this layer.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

If triggered loose wet avalanches may step down to deeper layers, resulting in very large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Valid until: Mar 20th, 2024 4:00PM