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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 5th, 2025–Mar 6th, 2025
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Continue to choose simple, mellow terrain. Signs of buried weak layers may be hard to find.

Be especially cautious on high north-facing slopes, and on sunny slopes during warming.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported since Sunday.

Looking forward: Avalanches on buried weak layers may be difficult to trigger, but if one is triggered, it is likely to be large and destructive.

Snowpack Summary

5 to 15 cm of new snow is settling over a widespread melt-freeze crust that exists everywhere but high north-facing slopes.

Two concerning weak layers are present in the mid snowpack: facets/surface hoar or a crust from mid-February buried 40-60 cm, and faceted snow/surface hoar/crust from late January buried 60-100 cm. These layers were active during the warm-up and are most concerning at upper elevations, where a thick and supportive crust under the new snow hasn't stabilized the snowpack.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Mostly clear. 5 to 10 km/h north wind. Freezing level falling to between 1000 m and valley bottom. Treeline low around -6 °C.

Thursday

Sunny. 10 to 15 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Freezing level rising to 1800 m. Treeline high around -2 °C.

Friday

Sunny. 5 to 10 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level falling to valley bottom overnight, rising to 1900 m.

Saturday

Partly cloudy. 15 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level falling to valley bottom overnight, rising to 1700 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be aware of the potential for large, destructive avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.
  • Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where even small avalanches may have severe consequences.
  • In times of uncertainty, conservative terrain choices are our best defense.
  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling, and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Weak layers exist 40 to 100 cm deep. These layers remain a concern where there is no thick, supportive crust under the new snow.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3

Loose Wet

Wet loose avalanches will become likely if the sun is out for prolonged periods. Avoid overhead hazard from sun-exposed slopes, especially if the snow surface is moist or wet.

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2