Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 29th, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Deep Persistent Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada SH, Avalanche Canada

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The deeper weak layers are active and human-triggered avalanches are likely. A special avalanche warning has been issued which includes our region.

Avalanche control will be conducted on Mounts Stephen, Field, and Dennis in Yoho on Dec. 30, 2022. These areas are closed to any activities during this time. Click here for maps of the closure zones.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche control over the last couple of days on has produced large avalanches up to size 3. These were on Mt. Bourgeau along the Sunshine Village Access Road, Mount Whymper, and Simpson. Some were initiated on the Dec. 17 interface, with many stepping down to the basal facets. Visitor Safety Specialists remote-triggered a size 2 from a ridge on Mt. Simpson, and there was also a skier-triggered incident on Bow Peak which luckily just resulted in lost gear. A natural cycle over the last 24-48 hours up to size 2.5 was observed on a flight along the range.

Snowpack Summary

Slabs sit atop a weak layer of facets and surface hoar (Dec. 17th interface). Below this, the snowpack is generally facetted with the largest facets and depth hoar near the bottom. Snowpack depths at treeline range from 80-150cm throughout the region.

Weather Summary

On Friday, increasing clouds with minimal accumulations and West ridgetop winds 20-40km/h. Freezing levels will remain at valley bottom. On Friday evening, another wave from the Pacific will bring snow to the region, with 5cm forecast for places such as Little Yoho.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Uncertainty is best managed through conservative terrain choices at this time.

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

Much of the bottom half of the snowpack is very weak and faceted. Avalanches have been initiated on this layer, or starting higher in the snowpack and "stepping down" to the basal facets causing large avalanches

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Slabs typically 25-60cm thick overly faceted snow (Dec. 17th weak layer) that was on the surface during the prolonged deep freeze. If initiated, the big concern is that it can step down to the deeper weak layers. Below treeline the problem exists only where there is a slab overlying the deeper weak layers.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 30th, 2022 4:00PM