Avalanche forecast

Banff Yoho Kootenay

Feb 3 – 4, 2024Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Mon
Tue
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

While temperatures are cooling off and stability should improve, we have somewhat limited obs. A wait and see approach is a good idea.

Travel conditions are challenging and early season hazards are back in many places!

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Slabs formed over facets/surface hoar formed in January were very active over recent days but with the cooling, their likelihood of avalanching is significantly reduced. As the temps continue to cool this problem will stabilize but may still exist at higher elevations where the snow remains dry.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–3

    The cooling trend will stabilize this problem, but it remains a question in alpine areas where the snow is still dry and the base of the snowpack consists of weak facets and depth hoar. Reevaluate this problem carefully over the coming days.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid areas where the snow feels stiff and/or slabby.
  • The likelihood of deep persistent slab avalanches will increase with each day of warm weather.
  • Avoid shallow, rocky areas where the snowpack transitions from thick to thin.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Sunshine ski hill produced avalanches on the persistent slab problem, on northerly aspects of the alpine to size 1 durring contorl work today.

Out side of the control, no new natural activity was reported.

Snowpack Summary

Warm temperatures and rain over the past week created moist surface snow up to 2500 m, which will continue to freeze overnight Friday and result in a melt-freeze crust forming on the snow surface. The impact of this warming on the snowpack layering has yet to be evaluated, but expect the snowpack to strengthen in most areas as it refreezes. High and northerly aspects may still hold some dry snow and below treeline is below threshold for avalanches in many places.

Weather Summary

Saturday should mark the beginning of freezing levels returning to near valley bottom, with Sunday cooler yet. Saturday afternoon could see the arrival of the next storm, coming in from the east. Areas east of the divide could see 5-15 cm of snow and areas to the west 5-10 cm. Winds will pick up to strong and switch from the S/W flow to a N/E direction.

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