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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 1st, 2023–Feb 2nd, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

The deep persistent problem remains a problem. Continue to exercise conservative terrain choices.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Ski hills reported small windslabs with ski cutting and explosives on Wednesday. In the past few days, in Yoho, a deep persistent slab avalanche was observed on Mt. Carnarvon (size 3) and on Mt. Field (size 2.5). These avalanches illustrate the unpredictability of the deep persistent problem that exists in the snowpack.

Snowpack Summary

Moderate to strong west winds have formed wind effect and fresh wind-slabs at alpine and tree-line elevations. The upper snowpack has a weak interface down 20-40 cm on the Jan 4 surface hoar/suncrust layer. The Nov 16 deep persistent layer is down 40-90 cm and continues to produce variable sudden test results. The mid and lower pack is weak in eastern regions and more supportive in western areas.

Weather Summary

Cloudy skies with light flurries along the continental divide on Thursday morning will taper as a surface ridge builds bringing a clearing trend in the afternoon.

Winds will remain strong from the west with alpine temps in the -5 to -10 range on Thursday.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • In times of uncertainty conservative terrain choices are our best defense.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Moderate to strong W winds have formed wind effect and fresh wind slabs in the alpine and treeline elevations. These wind slabs have been reactive to skier triggering.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

The lower snowpack is comprised of weak facets and depth hoar with the upper snowpack forming a 40 to 90 cm thick slab above the weakness. Human triggering on this layer remains a concern.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3.5