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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 27th, 2024–Nov 28th, 2024
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

The Oct crust is the layer of greatest concern on large alpine slopes. If winds pick up more than forecast, watch for wind slab formation locally.

Ski quality has improved up high where there is a consistent snowpack, but it is still pretty rugged at treeline and below.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed or reported today. Yesterday, however, some deep slabs with explosives were reported at Sunshine and Lake Louise ski hills, and a natural size two was seen on Scarab Peak in the Sunshine backcountry.

Snowpack Summary

10-20 cm of recent storm snow lies on an early-season snowpack measuring 50-90 cm at treeline. Two weak layers are present: the November 9 crust, found 25-40 cm above the ground, and an October crust near the ground, where facets and depth hoar are developing. Observations of the October layer are limited, but it appears most prominent on northerly aspects at treeline and above.

Weather Summary

Low of -15C and highs of -5C Thursday. Light to moderate alpine winds and no snow. See image below for tables.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be aware of the possibility for full depth avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.
  • Pay attention to the wind; once it starts to blow, sensitive wind slabs are likely to form.

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

The crust/facet layer from October 23, located just above the ground, is capped by a 50-80 cm slab. This layer has caused avalanches over the past week. The extent of the problem remains uncertain, but we advise exercising extra caution on steep, open alpine features.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5