Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 30th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada AB, Avalanche Canada

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Numerous wind slabs and the occasional deep slab has been the pattern over the last couple of days, and the next few days to come. Use good judgment and resist steep terrain as we come out of the cold weather.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Mt. Field, a size 2.5 natural deep slab was observed. It ran within 200m of the Kicking Horse River, occurring within the last 24 hours. A large cornice fell down which triggered a slab on Mt. Bosthworth, and the debris ran to mid-runout. Lake Louise patrol triggered two size 2 wind slabs that gauged down into facets with large explosives.

Snowpack Summary

Moderate to strong W-N winds have formed wind slabs at treeline and in the alpine. Below this, the upper snowpack contains weak layers 20-40 cm deep (Jan. 4th) and 30-60 cm deep (Dec. 17th) that are generally unreactive. The Nov 16 deep persistent layer is down 40-90 cm and continues to produce variable sudden test results. In areas west of the divide, the snowpack is more supportive than in eastern areas.

Weather Summary

Warming temperatures which will bring things back to seasonal over the next two days. A trace of snow is expected on Tuesday. Winds will remain in the strong range from the West, Tuesday through Thursday.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Uncertainty is best managed through conservative terrain choices at this time.
  • Watch for wind-loaded pockets especially around ridgecrest and in extreme terrain.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Moderate to strong W-N winds have formed wind slabs in lees areas of the alpine and treeline. In the past couple days these wind slabs have been reactive to skier traffic, and have failed naturally with ongoing wind loading.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

The lower snowpack is comprised of weak facets and depth hoar with the upper snowpack forming a 40 to 90cm thick slab above the weakness. Not much has changed with this layer and human triggering remains a concern anywhere this weak layer is present.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Jan 31st, 2023 4:00PM

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