Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 8th, 2024 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs, Loose Dry and Deep Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeStrong winds forecasted on Monday night/Tuesday morning will increase the likelihood of windslab development in the alpine and exposed treeline terrain. Pay attention for this change as you transition through the treeline.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Several loose dry avalanches were observed out of steep alpine terrain on Monday. Sunshine Ski Resort reported ski cutting small windslabs from steeper terrain.
There was a skier accidental avalanche size 1.5 near the Lake Louise ski area on Saturday.
Snowpack Summary
10-25cm of recent storm snow sits over a variety of surfaces (sun crusts, surface hoar, old wind slab) at treeline and above. Some sluffing and windslab development can be found in steep exposed terrain.
The mid pack is settled and mostly supportive. It contains several melt-freeze crusts which can be found as high as 2300m in southern areas. The base of the snowpack consists of a mix of weak facets and depth hoar.
Treeline snow depths range from 65-110 cm.
Weather Summary
Flurries are forecasted through Wednesday with total accumulations in the 10-15 cm range.Winds will start out strong (SW) on Tuesday and decrease in afternoon, becoming light-mod by Wednesday.Daytime highs on Tuesday will be around -10, but will start falling on Wednesday becoming very cold (-25-30) by Thursday.
For more information, click Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Be carefull around freshly wind loaded features.
- Avalanche hazard may have improved, but be mindful that deep instabilities are still present.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Strong forecasted winds on Monday night and Tues morning have potential to create fresh wind slabs in lee alpine and exposed treeline terrain.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Loose Dry
New snow and some wind have created conditions for loose dry avalanches. These conditions will be especially prevalent in steep rocky terrain. Be mindful of terrain traps where small avalanches can create a big problem.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Deep Persistent Slabs
In most areas the base of the snowpack consists of weak facets and depth hoar. Avalanche activity on this layer has been minimal but the consequenses of triggering it remain serious. Use caution in steep terrain or on planar slopes where failures in these basal facets are more likely to propagate.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 9th, 2024 4:00PM