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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 8th, 2023–Dec 9th, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Riders could trigger storm slab avalanches, particularly where a buried weak layer lingers. The most likely terrain includes slopes that appear relatively smooth at higher elevations.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Many storm slab and loose wet avalanches released during the intense rainy conditions earlier this week. Natural avalanche activity likely tapered on Friday.

Looking towards the weekend, riders could trigger storm slabs that formed the past few days. We're uncertain on whether avalanches could still release on the surface hoar layer described in the Snowpack Summary, so travelling cautiously until there is evidence it is bonding is a good strategy.

Snowpack Summary

Around 20 to 40 cm of snow rests on a hard melt-freeze crust or moist snow. This loads a buried weak layer of surface hoar found about 50 cm deep. This layer was likely destroyed in many steep slopes during intense rain loading, but it could still linger in isolated features where either the rain or an avalanche hasn't yet destroyed it.

The middle and lower snowpack are likely moist from all the recent rain and will slowly freeze into a hard crust.

Snowpack depths are generally between 60 and 110 cm at treeline, which quickly tapers as you lower with elevation.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Clear skies with no precipitation, northwest alpine wind 20 km/h, treeline temperature -9 °C.

Saturday

Increasing cloud with 1 to 3 cm of afternoon snow, south alpine wind 20 to 30 km/h, treeline temperature -9 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of snow, southwest alpine wind 20 km/h, treeline temperature -6 °C.

Monday

Mix of sun and cloud with 1 to 3 cm of early-morning snow, northeast alpine wind 10 km/h, treeline temperature -4 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the old surface.
  • Be aware of the potential for larger than expected storm slabs due to the presence of buried surface hoar.
  • Early season avalanches at any elevation have the potential to be particularly dangerous due to obstacles that are exposed or just below the surface.
  • Be cautious of buried obstacles especially below treeline.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Riders could trigger storm slabs that may rest on a weak layer of surface hoar, where it hasn't already been destroyed.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2