Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 27th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada isnowsell, Avalanche Canada

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Natural and human-triggered avalanches are likely with the arrival of more snow and wind on Wednesday.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Several remotely triggered avalanches up to size 3 have been reported through the region since the weekend. These avalanches have occurred at various elevations and have been triggered from as far as 100 m away. It is suspected that these slides have occurred on the buried crust/facet layer. Check out this MIN report.

A natural size 3 avalanche was reported in the Nelson area, sliding on the same crust/facet layer. It occurred in alpine terrain in wind-loaded terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Approximately 30 to 50 cm of recent snow has buried a variety of layers that may prolong the bonding time. These layers include sun crusts on south-facing slopes and faceted snow or surface hoar in sheltered, north-facing terrain.

A widespread crust exists down roughly 50 to 80 cm. In many areas, small, weak faceted grains have formed just above or below this crust.

The lower snowpack is generally well-settled and strong.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of snow. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 °C.

Wednesday

Cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of snow. 30 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with 10 to 20 cm of snow. 30 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.

Friday

Mostly cloudy with 2 to 10 cm of snow. 20 to 40 km/h southwest wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.
  • Remote triggering is a concern, watch out for adjacent and overhead slopes.
  • Storm slab size and sensitivity to triggering will likely increase through the day.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

New snow continues to accumulate atop various potential weak layers. Slabs are likely larger and more reactive in wind-loaded terrain features.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A widespread crust exists down roughly 40 to 80 cm. This is a particular concern in areas where weak faceted grains have formed above or below the crust.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Valid until: Feb 28th, 2024 4:00PM