Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 3rd, 2023 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeStorm slabs may be triggered in steep, open terrain. Keep an eye out for areas where there is more than 20 cm of snow and watch for signs of instability like shooting cracks.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Recent new snow has buried a large, widespread surface hoar layer. These small storm slab avalanches could be triggered in specific areas like steep, open terrain features at treeline.
A MIN report from the Baldy rocks area observed that new snow was not bonding to the previous surface with small, dry loose activity.
Observations are limited this time of year. Please consider filling out a MIN report if you head out in the backcountry! ð
Snowpack Summary
An additional 5 cm of new snow brings snowfall totals between 15 and 20 cm over a surface hoar layer formed during the clear, cool weather over various surfaces of wind-pressed snow, sun crust, and faceted soft snow.
The mid-pack is generally faceted. Near the base of the snowpack is a crust with facets or depth hoar beneath it.
Expect early-season conditions with a shallower-than-average snowpack. At treeline and the upper end of below treeline, snowpack depths are between 50 to 80 cm. Below this, snowpack depths taper quickly. Check out the new Forecaster Blog Trouble ahead?
Weather Summary
Sunday Night
Cloudy with scattered flurries, 2 to 3 cm accumulation. South alpine wind 15 to 20 km/h. Treeline temperature -5 °C.
Monday
Increasing clouds in the afternoon with flurries 3 to 5 cm, snow starting overnight, south alpine winds increasing, 20 to 40 km/h. Treeline temperature -3 °C increasing overnight with rising freezing levels.
Tuesday
Cloudy with mixed precipitation, 30 to 40 cm accumulation, snow switching to rain. Southwest alpine wind 20 to 30 km/h. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 2500 to 2700m.
Wednesday
Cloudy with flurries, 5 to 8 cm accumulation. Southwest alpine wind 5 to 10 km/h. Treeline temperature 0 °C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Even a small avalanche can be harmful if it pushes you into an obstacle or a terrain trap.
- Early season avalanches at any elevation have the potential to be particularly dangerous due to obstacles that are exposed or just below the surface.
Problems
Storm Slabs
15 to 20 cm of new snow has buried a surface hoar layer formed over various hard wind-pressed snow surfaces, facets, and melt-freeze crusts. These storm slabs could be triggered in steep, open terrain features at treeline.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 4th, 2023 4:00PM