Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 20th, 2024–Jan 21st, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Temperatures and freezing levels will continue to slowly warm and rise, expect this to increase the sensitivity of wind slabs to human triggering.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Friday, both natural and explosive controlled large (size 2) wind slab avalanches have been reported at elevations above 2200 m and on north aspect terrain. On Thursday extensive explosive control at a number of professional operations, produced large both wind and storm slab avalanches up to size (2.5).

Snowpack Summary

10-25 cm of recent new snow has covered weak, faceted snow in many areas and wind-affected surfaces in open areas at all elevations.

A layer of surface hoar is found down 70 cm in sheltered, north-facing terrain. This layer appears as a sun crust on south-facing slopes. As temperatures slowly warm expect this layer to become reactive to human triggering.

A thick crust deep in the snowpack largely protects any weak layers further down in the snowpack from being triggered.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Mainly cloudy. 1 to 5 cm of snow expected. Light to moderate southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -5 °C.

Sunday

Mainly cloudy. 1 to 5 cm of snow expected. Light southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -1 °C.

Monday

Mainly cloudy. 1 to 5 cm of snow expected. Light southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around 0 °C.

Tuesday

Mainly cloudy. 1 to 2 cm of snow expected. Light southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around 0 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Pay attention to the wind, once it starts to blow fresh sensitive wind slabs are likely to form.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

10-20 cm of recent new snow and winds switching direction are promoting fresh wind slab development over previously wind affected surfaces and in some places weak facetted snow.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2