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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 20th, 2023–Dec 21st, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

We are keeping the alpine rating elevated due to forecast winds, available snow to move, and difficulty forecasting how the basal facets will react. Cooling temperatures and calming winds this weekend may improve the danger.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed or reported on Wednesday.

Snowpack Summary

Previous SW winds have created wind slabs in the alpine and exposed treeline locations. Below this is a semi-supportive mid-pack that may include a raincrust (1-7 cm thick) that exists up to 2300m. The lower snowpack is facetted and weak. Treeline snowpack amounts range from 50-90cm.

Weather Summary

A trace of snow is expected Thursday and 2cm West of the Divide. Mild temperatures continue with freezing levels rising from valley bottom to 1600-1700m in the afternoon. Alpine winds will be SW 40-50 on Thursday and 55-65 on Friday. A cold front will arrive on Friday night with a few cm of snow and cool temperatures for the weekend.

For more information, click Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Past winds have created wind slabs in alpine and some exposed treeline locations. Incoming strong winds over the next two days may add to these. If initiated, these may step down to the deep, persistent layer.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

The bottom layer of the snowpack is facetted and weak. Human triggering of this deep, persistent layer could result in a large avalanche.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5