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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 18th, 2023–Dec 19th, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Natural avalanche activity has abated, but human triggered avalanches are still possible. Pay attention to wind loading as you make your way into the alpine and continue to make conservative terrain choices.

Confidence

No Rating

Avalanche Summary

A large natural avalanche was observed in the alpine on Mount Fairview on Friday. Sunshine reported 2 small natural avalanches (size 1) in the alpine on Sunday. Otherwise no new natural avalanches reported since Saturday.

Snowpack Summary

Recent mod-strong SW winds and last Thursday's storm snow have created wind slabs in the alpine and exposed tree-line terrain. Below this is a semi-supportive mid-pack that may include a rain crust of various thickness up to 2300m. The base of the snowpack consists of weak facets and depth hoar. Tree-line snow depths range from 50-90 cm.

Weather Summary

Light flurries with minimal accumulation are forecasted along the continental divide through Friday. Ridgetop winds will be SW, light to moderate on Tuesday, picking up a bit on Wednesday and then forecasted to be strong on Thursday. Temperatures will be relatively mild with freezing levels near valley bottom.

For more information, click Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Recent SW winds have created wind slabs in alpine and exposed treeline terrain. Human triggering of these slabs are still possible, especially in steeper lee features.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

The bottom of the snowpack is very weak and consists of layers of surface hoar, facets, depth hoar, and occasionally a crust. Human triggering of this deep persistent layer is possible, and any avalanche has the potential to run further than expected due to the weak snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5