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Avalanche Forecast

Apr 16th, 2023–Apr 17th, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Incoming snow and wind will create fresh wind slabs and add load to the deep persistent problem. Step back and monitor how the snowpack adjusts to the change on Monday.

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches were observed or reported today. Natural avalanche activity has slowed but we are still able to trigger large avalanches with explosives.

Snowpack Summary

Recent storm snow has settled to 20-30 cm above 2300 m. The storm snow sits over buried sun crusts that are present to ridge crests, and faceted layers on shady aspects. Multiple buried crusts are present in the top 50-70 cm on solar aspects. The basal depth hoar is present at the bottom of the snowpack and remains facetted and weak. Low elevations have a temperature crust on all aspects.

Weather Summary

Snow will start Sunday evening and up to 10cm could arrive by Monday. Temperatures will decrease Monday with the valley remaining around zero degrees and -10 in the alpine. Wind will pick up into the strong range in the early hours of Monday.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

The basal facets, as well as mid-pack facets and crusts, remain a significant concern. Many large avalanches in the recent cycle tell forecasters that this problem will be here until the end of the season.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5

Wind Slabs

Some new snow (~10CM) and increasing wind with variable direction will likely produce wind slabs in the alpine by Monday morning.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2