Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 1st, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Persistent Slabs, Loose Wet and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Parks Canada, Avalanche Canada

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High freezing levels and strong solar inputs are contributing to widespread avalanche activity. For more details, see Special Avalanche Warning (SPAW) above.

The Simpson and Mount Wardle closure zones will be closed on Sunday, March 2, for avalanche control. No backcountry activities will be permitted in this area for the day.

Summary

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Natural avalanche activity continued on Saturday due to warm temperatures and strong solar inputs throughout the day. Widespread loose wet avalanches were observed on most steep, solar-exposed terrain. Several cornice failures were reported at local ski resorts, triggering persistent slabs up to size 2.5.

Avalanche control on Mount Whymper resulted in numerous releases, up to size 3.5, triggering the January 30th persistent problem.

Snowpack Summary

Newly formed crust on solar aspects overlays previous formed slabs up to 60cm thick. The slabs sit on weak layers of facets, surface hoar or sun crust formed in late Jan and Feb.

The mid-pack is generally faceted, while depth hoar and crusts form an even weaker base. The snowpack is the weakest in eastern areas where snow depths are low. In these areas, the basal weaknesses should be carefully considered.

Weather Summary

The ridge of high pressure will persist through Sunday, with freezing levels at 2200m, light to moderate winds, and clear skies. Late Sunday night, an upslope weather system from the east will move in, bringing cooler temperatures and precipitation, primarily affecting the eastern parts of the forecast region. Snow accumulation for Monday is expected to range from 2 to 10 cm.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • In areas where deep persistent slabs may exist, avoid shallow or variable depth snowpacks and slopes above cliffs.
  • Avoid steep, sun-exposed slopes when the air temperature is warm or when solar radiation is strong.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Recent storm snow and extreme winds have added to older slabs. Now up to 60cm thick, these slabs sit over numerous weak layers of facets, surface hoar, or sun crust. Human triggering will remain likely over the short term.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Clear skies and warm temperatures have been a driver for some natural activity (see avalanche table) and smaller, loose, wet avalanches out of steep terrain. These smaller slides could trigger the persistent layers, resulting in bigger slides.

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

The recent storm has added load to an already shallow and weak snowpack. With this additional weight and warmer temperatures, there may be a reawakening of this problem in isolated areas. Areas of concern include thin, shallow, and rocky slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Mar 2nd, 2025 4:00PM

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