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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 21st, 2023–Dec 22nd, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Strong winds will keep the danger ratings elevated Friday.

Remember that this is a relatively shallow and weak snowpack.

Early season hazards are a real concern. Travel BTL is poor.

The weak snow at the base of the snowpack dictates the need for conservative terrain selection.

Days are short: aim to be back to the trailhead by about 4 PM

Confidence

No Rating

Avalanche Summary

Both Sunshine Village Snow Safety and Lake Louise Avalanche Control reported only a few, 10-20cm deep, wind slabs that were generally observed local to their shots Thursday.

As these teams are working hard to open new terrain, they would remind visitors, especially those who plan to visit the slack country near their resorts, to keep it safe over the holidays given the thin snowpack they are working with, and the crowds that can be expected.

Snowpack Summary

SW winds have created wind slabs in alpine and exposed treeline locations.

A thin mid-pack is generally carrying skis right now. This often includes a rain crust that is up to 7 cm thick and has been observed as high as 2300m (although it is not as high in northern areas).

The lower snowpack is facetted and weak.

Moist surface snow was observed as high as 2000m Wednesday and Thursday: expect a crust in the AM.

Treeline snowpack depths range from 50-95cm.

Weather Summary

Mild temperatures continue with freezing levels approaching 2000m again Friday. Alpine winds will be SW 50- 65km/h. While up to 8cm of snow is possible west of the divide by Saturday AM, mostly flurries can be expected elsewhere.

A cold front will arrive on Friday night with winds shifting west and diminishing to 35 km/h. Clearing and cooling to follow.

For more information, click Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Early season avalanches at any elevation have the potential to be particularly dangerous due to obstacles that are exposed or just below the surface.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

SW winds have created thin wind slabs in alpine, and some exposed treeline locations. Incoming strong SW winds Friday may contribute to slab formation. If initiated, these slabs may step down to the deep persistent layers.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

The bottom layers of the snowpack are facetted and weak. Human triggering could result in a large avalanche. It is easy to dig down to these layers given the thin snow coverage: test the snow before venturing into terrain with any consequence.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5