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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

May 6th, 2024–May 7th, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be high
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be high

We expect the start of a significant avalanche cycle on Wednesday/Thursday with rising freezing levels and lots of warm sunny weather.

Confidence

No Rating

Avalanche Summary

Poor visibility and limited observations today. Suspect some loose wet activity associated with warm temperatures and rain at lower elevations (below 2200m).

Snowpack Summary

Fresh snow at upper elevations (above 2500m) sits on a variety of surfaces including temperature crusts (solar aspects) and dry snow (north aspects). Below 2500m surface crusts becoming moist and breaking down with rain and above freezing temperatures.

The mid-pack Feb 3 persistent layer is lingering and is expected to become active as day time temperatures rise on Wednesday.

Weather Summary

Tuesday: Unsettled weather with rain or snow showers (depending on elevation). Freezing levels will be in the 2300m range

Wednesday: An upper ridge starts to build resulting in clearing skies, lots of sunshine and rising freezing levels (25-2700m)

Thursday: Warm and sunny. Freezing levels rising to 3000m.

For more detailed weather click here.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid exposure to overhead hazards when solar radiation is strong.
  • Cornice failures could trigger very large and destructive avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Loose wet activity will increase with any solar input.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

This problem is expected to become more active as temperatures and solar inputs increase on Wednesday.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3