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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 2nd, 2025–Feb 3rd, 2025
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Although natural avalanche activity is tapering off new snow remains reactive to human triggering due to a buried weak layer.

Check out the new Forecaster BlogĀ "Shifting your Mindset".

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday, numerous natural and human triggered storm slab avalanches were reported on all aspects, size 1 to 2.5.

Of note, a suspected skier remote triggered, size 2.5 storm slab avalanche in Whitewater area. This occurred on a north facing treeline slope. The crown was 30 to 70 cm deep and ran on a buried layer of surface hoar.

A size 3 vehicle controlled avalanche was reported on an east facing alpine feature. We suspect this avalanche ran on a buried layer of surface hoar.

Snowpack Summary

Storm snow totals range from 30 to 55 cm. Deeper deposits are found in wind-loaded areas. The new snow is bonding poorly to old surfaces, which include melt-freeze crusts on sun-exposed slopes, surface hoar or facets on shaded slopes, and wind-affected snow in exposed terrain.

A weak layer of surface hoar buried, 30 to 80cm deep, has been the culprit of many natural and human-triggered avalanches through the weekend. Where this layer is preserved it will remain reactive to human triggering.

The lower snowpack is strong and bonded.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Cloudy with light flurries, 2 to 8 cm of snow. 10 to 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Monday

Mostly cloudy with light flurries, 1 to 3 cm of snow. 10 to 20 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 °C.

Tuesday

A mix of sun and clouds with a chance of flurries, trace accumulations. 5 to 15 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 °C.

Wednesday

Clear. 5 to 15 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -15 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the old surface.
  • Start with conservative terrain and watch for signs of instability.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Be aware of the potential for remote triggering and large avalanches due to buried surface hoar.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

30 to 55 cm of new snow and southwest winds have formed slabs in lee terrain features. New snow is bonding poorly to surfaces below. Back off if you signs of instability: whumphing, shooting cracks and recent avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5