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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 27th, 2024–Dec 28th, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

There's no doubt that new snow and wind will form fresh, reactive storm slabs. Uncertainty lies deeper in the snowpack where dangerous weak layers may be at play.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday, skiers near Rossland remote-triggered storm slabs (size 1-2) on north-facing treeline and below treeline terrain. Natural storm slabs up to size 2 were also observed in the area. Explosive control near Nelson produced storm slabs up to size 2 on a variety of aspects at treeline.

No new persistent slab activity has been reported since the storm, but observations remain limited.

Snowpack Summary

Continued snowfall adds to 15 to 40 cm of recent new snow. Accompanying southwest wind will redistribute this new snow, forming deeper deposits on leeward slopes at higher elevations.

A crust is present near the surface at lower elevations.

The upper snowpack continues to settle and bond well following significant snowfall over the last two weeks.

Weak layers of surface hoar or facets and a crust may persist in the mid-snowpack, and snowpack tests continue to indicate potential instability.

The lower snowpack is generally strong and well-bonded.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of new snow. 10 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Saturday

Cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of new snow. 15 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with up to 5 cm of new snow. 5 to 15 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Monday

A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries. 10 to 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • In times of uncertainty, conservative terrain choices are our best defense.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Surface hoar distribution is highly variable. Avoid generalizing your observations.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Recent snowfall and southwest winds have formed fresh storm slabs that will be deepest and most reactive in wind-loaded areas.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

Buried weak layers of surface hoar and facets on a crust are now buried 40 to 120 cm deep. Increased load from new snow may make these layers more reactive. Be especially cautious on steep, open slopes at treeline and below.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5