Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 29th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is high, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mconlan, Avalanche Canada

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Human triggering large avalanches is very likely. Travel in or near any consequential avalanche terrain is not recommended.

Summary

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Explosives and riders triggered many small to large (size 1 to 2) storm and wind slabs on Wednesday, primarily out of alpine terrain. They were mostly 20 to 50 cm deep.

A fatal avalanche incident occurred on Saturday near Gardiner Creek. It is believed that it occurred on the early-February layer described in the Snowpack Summary. You can read more details here.

Looking forward, it remains likely that humans could trigger high-consequence slab avalanches.

Snowpack Summary

Substantial snowfall associated with strong southwest wind and warming quickly built storm slabs that will likely remain very touchy. These slabs are loading weak faceted snow, surface hoar in wind-sheltered terrain, and a hard melt-freeze crust on sun-exposed slopes.

A widespread crust that formed in early February is buried around 80 to 120 cm deep. Weak faceted grains may be found above the crust, which is a recipe for high-consequence avalanches.

The remainder of the snowpack is generally settled.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of snow. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -9 °C.

Friday

Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of snow. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

Saturday

Mostly cloudy with 2 to 5 cm of snow. 20 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -13 °C.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy with 2 to 5 cm of snow. 10 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Travel in alpine terrain is not recommended.
  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, avalanches may run surprisingly far.
  • Remote triggering is a concern, watch out for adjacent and overhead slopes.
  • Persistent slabs have potential to pull back to lower angle terrain.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Substantial snow accumulation has formed thick storm slabs. These slabs are loading various weak layers and sliding surfaces. Expect these slabs to be touchy to human traffic.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of faceted grains above a melt-freeze crust buried 80 to 150 cm deep is a recipe for large, high-consequence avalanches. This snowpack setup will take some time to strengthen.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Valid until: Mar 1st, 2024 4:00PM