Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 5th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mconlan, Avalanche Canada

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Concerning terrain consists of wind-loaded features and thin, rocky slopes. Read about how this year is different in our Forecasters' blog.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanche activity has been reported in the region. However, there have been a number of recent reports of spooky snowpack test results.

Please continue to share any observations or photos on the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

Roughly 30 to 60 cm of soft snow is found in areas sheltered from the wind, which overlies a generally weak, facetted snowpack with multiple buried weak layers. Wind-exposed terrain has been wind-affected from strong southerly wind. Wind slabs may be found in lee terrain features, which may sit over a layer of surface hoar and/or crust.

Two layers of concern exist in this snowpack:

  • A layer of facets, crust and surface hoar that was buried around Christmas and found around 30 to 60 cm from the surface.

  • A layer of large, weak facets buried in November and found near the bottom of the snowpack. This layer is likely most problematic in alpine terrain, where shallower avalanches could scrub down to these basal facets. These layers may persist for some time, as described in our Forecasters' blog.

Snowpack depths are roughly 100 to 175 cm at treeline.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy with no precipitation. Moderate to strong south wind. Alpine high of -4 °C.

Friday

Cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 1 to 3 cm. Moderate to strong southwest wind. Freezing level 1100 m. Alpine high of -5 °C.

Saturday

Mostly cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 2 to 5 cm. Moderate southwest wind. Freezing levels 1100 m. Alpine high of -5 °C.

Sunday

Mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries. Light southeast wind. Alpine high of -6 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
  • Avoid thin areas like rock outcroppings where you're most likely to trigger avalanches failing on deep weak layers.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Southerly wind may form new wind slabs in lee terrain features. Avalanches triggered in wind-loaded terrain could step down to deeper weak layers, creating larger than expected avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

The mid and lower snowpack is generally weak, facetted and contains multiple buried weak layers. A layer of facets surface hoar, and/or crust buried 30 to 60 cm deep continues to produce test results that indicate it could be triggered by riders. Avalanches may be larger than you expect due to the depth of buried weak layers.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Jan 6th, 2023 4:00PM