Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 2nd, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Avalanche Canada, Avalanche Canada

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Surface instabilities and deeper weak layers remain reactive to riders.

Choose low-consequence terrain and watch for signs of instability.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday 2 large (size 2 to 2.5) persistent slab avalanches where rider triggered, both on North aspect at approximately 2200m. One was near Nelson, the other Rossland. Review this MIN report link for further details

On Monday, small storm slabs and loose dry avalanches (size 1) were easily triggered by riders on steep, sheltered treeline terrain features.

If you head out in the backcountry, let us know what you are seeing by submitting a MIN report!

Snowpack Summary

30 to 50 cm of settling snow can be found in sheltered areas. Previous moderate southwest wind has redistributed this snow, forming deeper deposits on leeward slopes at higher elevations.

Below this recent snow, a thin crust is present below approximately 1600 m.

Weak layers of surface hoar or facets and a crust continue to persist in the mid-snowpack and can be found down between 50 and 120 cm. Professionals are still concerned about its potential instability.

The lower snowpack is generally strong and well-bonded.

Review this video on State of the snowpack for further details.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Cloudy with light snowfall 1 to 5 cm. 10 to 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -9 °C.

Friday

Cloudy with snowfall 10 to 20 cm. 15 to 25 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Saturday

Cloudy with light snowfall 1 to 5 cm, with isolated flurries. 10 to 15 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with snowfall 10 to 15 cm. 15 to 25 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Pay attention to the wind; once it starts to blow, sensitive wind slabs are likely to form.
  • Keep in mind that human triggering may persist as natural avalanches taper off.
  • Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

The sensitivity of this problem decreases in the southern boundary of this forecast region. Likely areas for triggering this weak layer are thin spots .

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

As winds increase, expect new and sensitive wind slabs to begin to form in lee aspect terrain and cross-loaded areas.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Jan 3rd, 2025 4:00PM

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