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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 2nd, 2023–Dec 3rd, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Storm slabs may be deeper than expected, with moderate winds accompanying recent storms. Keep an eye out for touchy storm slabs in alpine, treeline, and upper below treeline elevations.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

In areas where more than 20 cm of new snow accumulated over a large surface hoar layer, touchy storm slabs are likely, especially in open areas where the storm was accompanied by wind.

Observations are limited this time of year. Please consider filling out a MIN report if you head out in the backcountry! 🙏

Snowpack Summary

In the south of this region, near Nelson 25 cm of new snow has buried a surface hoar layer formed during the clear, cool weather over various surfaces of wind-pressed snow, sun crust, and faceted soft snow. Things look a bit different in the north of this region, where we only had 5 to 10 cm of new snow.

The mid-pack is generally faceted. Near the base of the snowpack is a crust with facets or depth hoar beneath it.

Expect early-season conditions with a shallower-than-average snowpack. At treeline and the upper end of below treeline, snowpack depths are between 30-80 cm. Below this, snowpack depths taper quickly. Check out the new Forecaster Blog Trouble ahead?

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Partly cloudy, scattered flurries with trace accumulations. Southwest alpine wind 10 to 20 km/h. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with flurries, 3 to 7 cm accumulation. South alpine wind 15 to 20 km/h. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

Monday

Cloudy with flurries, 2 to 5 cm accumulation, south alpine wind 5 to 10 km/h. Treeline temperature -3 °C

Tuesday

Cloudy with mixed precipitation, 30 to 40 cm accumulation, snow switching to rain. Southwest alpine wind 20 to 30 km/h. Treeline temperatures 3 °C. Freezing level 2500 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Storm snow and wind is forming touchy slabs. Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline.
  • Early season avalanches at any elevation have the potential to be particularly dangerous due to obstacles that are exposed or just below the surface.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

10 to 25 cm of new snow has buried a surface hoar layer that formed over various surfaces of hard wind-pressed snow, facets, and melt-freeze crusts, creating touchy wind slabs in the south of this region where we had the most snow.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2