Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 6th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada shorton, Avalanche Canada

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⚠️Dangerous avalanche conditions⚠️

Stick to low-angle terrain and be mindful of overhead hazard. Human-triggered and remote-triggered avalanches remain a serious concern.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Numerous large to very large slab avalanches were triggered naturally and by explosives in the Lizard Range over the past few days (size 2 to 3.5). Smaller storm slabs were reported in the Alberta Rockies (size 1 to 2). Avalanches are failing in both storm snow layers and on a deeply buried persistent weak layer of crust/facets.

Human-triggering remains a serious concern in alpine and treeline terrain.

Snowpack Summary

The upper snowpack has 20 to 40 cm of settling storm snow, with a potential sun crust forming on steep sun-exposed slopes. A widespread crust is buried 80 to 160 cm deep, and weak facets above this crust have been producing large avalanches throughout the Rockies. The snow below the crust is mostly strong and bonded.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Clear skies. 15 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -16 °C.

Thursday

Sunny. 25 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Friday

Mostly sunny. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

Saturday

Mix of sun and cloud. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Conservative terrain selection is critical, choose only well supported, low consequence lines.
  • Avoid areas with overhead hazard.
  • Remote triggering is a concern, watch out for adjacent and overhead slopes.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Large, high-consequence avalanches are possible due to a deeply buried weak layer of faceted grains above a crust (80 to 160 cm deep). Steep open slopes at treeline and alpine elevations are highly suspect.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Heavy snowfall over the past week has left reactive storm slabs at all elevations. If triggered, these storm slabs could trigger larger persistent slab avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Mar 7th, 2024 4:00PM