Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 11th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada bchristie, Avalanche Canada

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Wind slabs at treeline and above are the main concern.

Use extra caution below ridgecrests, roll-overs and in gully features. Watch for signs of instability like shooting cracks.

Summary

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

On Sunday near Fernie, small (up to size 1.5) natural avalanches were reported on steep alpine features.

On Saturday, avalanche control produced several small to large avalanches (up to size 2). The general trend was storm slab avalanches to the west, and wind slab avalanches to the east.

Snowpack Summary

Recent moderate to strong southwest winds have redistributed surface snow into deeper, more reactive pockets in leeward terrain features. In some areas, you may also find a thin, frozen crust near the surface.

40-60 cm of recent snow seems to be bonding well to the wet or frozen surface left behind by recent, heavy rain. A hard melt-freeze crust is forming at this interface, observed up to 5 cm thick in some places.

Beneath the upper crust, the remainder of the rain-moistened snowpack is slowly refreezing as freezing level remains below valley bottom.

Snowpack depths vary across the forecast area. 50 to 120 cm at treeline, tapering rapidly below treeline.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Mostly clear. No new snow expected. Light to moderate southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline high around -5 °C.

Tuesday

Mostly sunny. No new snow expected. Light southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -5 °C, with possible temperature inversion in the alpine.

Wednesday

Mostly sunny, possible thin cloud. No new snow expected. Moderate southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -2°C, with possible temperature inversion in the alpine.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy. 0-3 cm of snow expected. Moderate southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature falling to around -7°C by the end of the day.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be careful with wind slabs, especially in steep, unsupported and/or convex terrain features.
  • Back off if you encounter whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.
  • Early season avalanches at any elevation have the potential to be particularly dangerous due to obstacles that are exposed or just below the surface.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

More likely on the Rockies side of the forecast area. Several wind stations aren't reporting, so the extent of wind transport is uncertain. Watch out for reactive windslabs in leeward terrain features such as ridgecrests and roll-overs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 12th, 2023 4:00PM

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