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Avalanche Forecast

Feb 19th, 2023–Feb 20th, 2023
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Continually assess the snowpack for changing conditions, with significant wind and snow forecast Monday and Tuesday. Seek out sheltered terrain to avoid the problem and for better riding opportunities in softer snow.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A size 2 wind slab was remotely triggered in the Russle Creek area on Saturday. We suspect the wind slab was overlaying a thin melt-freeze crust. It occurred near ridgetop at 2350 m on a west aspect.

A number of loose dry avalanches in steep terrain have been reported over the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

New snow over the weekend has buried a variety of snow surfaces that consists of any of the following: a layer of large surface hoar in wind-sheltered terrain, wind slabs or wind-pressed snow in exposed terrain, and sun crusts on steep solar aspects. A slightly older layer of large surface hoar may be found down another 20-30 cm below the old snow surface.

The middle of the snowpack is generally well consolidated and stiff but does contain some old persistent weak layers. These layers have not produced avalanches in quite a long time and are not currently a concern unlike neighboring regions to the north, but could wake up with significant storm loading or warming.

The lower snowpack consists of a layer of weak, sugary crystals that is slowly gaining strength and doesn't currently appear to present the same problem as neighboring regions to the north and east. However, we continue to track the layer and watch for any signs that it might wake up and produce very large avalanches.

Weather Summary

Sunday night

Cloudy with trace amounts of snow. Moderate to strong westerly alpine winds. Treeline temperatures 0 to -5 C.

Monday

Cloudy with light snow, increasing by the end of the day, 5 to 10 cm. moderate westerly alpine winds. Treeline temperatures 0 to -5 C. Freezing levels 1500 m.

Tuesday

Heavy snow staring Monday night, continuing through the day, 20 to 40 cm by end of the day. Moderate to strong southwest alpine winds. Treeline temperatures -5 to -10 C.

Wednesday

Cloudy with sunny periods, trace snow amounts. Moderate easterly alpine winds. Treeline temperature -10 to -15 C

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be careful with wind slabs, especially in steep, unsupported and/or convex terrain features.
  • Pay attention to the wind, once it starts to blow fresh sensitive wind slabs are likely to form.
  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Expect to find recently formed wind slabs in and around wind exposed terrain features, like ridges and high points.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2