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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 28th, 2024–Dec 29th, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.

Uncertainty lies deeper in the snowpack, where dangerous weak layers may be at play.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Skier traffic produced small loose dry avalanches on steep slopes at treeline throughout the region Saturday.

On Friday, a large persistent slab (size 3) was observed at 2000 m in the Bonnington Range. The trigger is unknown, but the propagation was wide.

Recent natural widespread avalanche activity was reported in Stagleap Provincial Park where numerous storm slabs (size 1 to 1.5) were observed from steep terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Continued snowfalls adds to the 25 to 45 cm of recent snow. Moderate southwest wind has redistributed this new snow, forming deeper deposits on leeward slopes at higher elevations.

Below this new snow, a thin crust is present near the surface below approximately 1600 m.

Weak layers of surface hoar or facets and a crust may persist in the mid-snowpack, and snowpack tests continue to indicate potential instability.

The lower snowpack is generally strong and well-bonded.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of new snow. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with up to 5 cm of new snow. 10 to 20 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Monday

Mostly cloudy with isolated flurries. 10 to 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy with isolated flurries. 10 to 20 km/h souhtwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • In times of uncertainty, conservative terrain choices are our best defense.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Recent snowfall and southwest winds have formed fresh storm slabs that will be deepest and most reactive in wind-loaded areas.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

Buried weak layers of surface hoar and facets on a crust are now buried 50 to 120 cm deep. Increased load from new snow may make these layers more reactive. Be especially cautious on steep, open slopes at treeline and below.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5