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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 11th, 2023–Mar 12th, 2023
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be high
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

10-20 cm of recent snow and strong northeasterly winds have formed fresh wind slabs on lee aspects at treeline and above.

Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Numerous natural and rider triggered wind slabs up to size 1.5 were reported on primarily west and south aspects at treeline and above on Friday.

On Thursday, explosive control work north of Nelson produced two large (2-2.5) deep persistent slab avalanches on southwest and southeast aspects beneath treeline ridgetops. These avalanches occurred on slopes that had previously avalanched on the November facet layer.

Snowpack Summary

10-20 cm of new snow and strong northeasterly wind formed fresh wind slabs on lee aspects at treeline and above on Friday. These slabs are sitting on a sun crust on sunny aspects or surface hoar (5-10 mm) on shady aspects at all elevations.

A layer of surface hoar or sun crust (aspect dependent) can be found down 50-70 cm.

The lower snowpack includes a layer of weak sugary crystals near the ground. These facets are slowly gaining strength and have not produced recent avalanche activity. We continue to track the layer and watch for any signs that it could wake up and produce very large avalanches.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Partly cloudy with isolated flurries; 0-5 cm / Light south ridgetop wind / Low temperature at treeline around -8 C / Freezing level valley bottom.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy; then 10-15 cm snow overnight / Light south ridgetop wind; increasing to strong overnight / High temperature at treeline around 1 C / Freezing level 1500 m.

Monday

Snow; 20-30 cm; + 20 cm overnight / Strong southwest ridgetop wind / High temperature at treeline around 2 C / Freezing level rapidly rising to 1700 m.

Tuesday

Mostly sunny / Light southwest ridgetop wind / High temperature at treeline around -2 C / Freezing level 1200 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Avoid shallow, rocky areas where the snowpack transitions from thick to thin.
  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

10-20 cm of recent snow and strong northeasterly winds have formed fresh wind slabs on lee aspects at treeline and above.

Aspects: South, South West, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2