Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 8th, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada ahanna, Avalanche Canada

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Approach wind loaded features with caution, especially around treeline where fresh slabs may sit on a persistent weak layer.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported on the persistent weak layer, but we've had reports of shooting cracks and whumpfing at treeline. With very few field observations, there is great uncertainty around this layer and professionals have their guard up.

On Sunday operators in the region reported a natural windslab avalanche cycle to size 2 from the previous 24 to 48 hours.

Thank you for all the MIN reports! They are extremely helpful to us in the early season when snowpack information is limited. Please continue to share your observations via the Mountain Information Network

Snowpack Summary

Small inputs of new snow continue to accumulate, bringing recent totals to 20 - 40 cm in sheltered areas at treeline. Where winds have redistributed fresh snow, soft slabs are forming in lee terrain features.

A weak layer of surface hoar, facets, and/or melt-freeze crust can be found down 40-70 cm. This layer is more likely to be reactive where wind distribution has created a cohesive slab over it.

Snowpack depths range from 70 cm at treeline to 140 cm in the alpine. Below treeline snowpack is thin and faceted creating an additional challenge when accessing higher areas.

Weather Summary

Thursday night

Cloudy with scattered flurries bringing around 5 cm of new snow. Southwesterly ridge top winds 40 to 50 km/hr. Alpine temperature low -10.

Friday

Broken skies with scattered flurries bringing a trace of new snow. Southwesterly ridge top winds 30 to 40 km/hr. Alpine temperature high of -8.

Saturday

Cloudy with flurries bringing up to 5 cm. Ridgetop winds gusting to 70 km/hr from the southeast. Alpine high temperature -6 and a low of -12.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy. Calm. Alpine high temperature -8 and a low of -16.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be careful with wind slabs, especially in steep, unsupported and/or convex terrain features.
  • Fresh snow rests on a problematic persistent slab, don't let good riding lure you into complacency.
  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

With lots of loose snow for transport, moderate to strong southwest winds are forming wind slabs in lees. Watch for signs of instability such as whumpfing, cracking, and recent avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A layer of concern formed in mid-November is composed of faceted grains, surface hoar, and/or a hard crust and can be found down 40 to 70 cm. Each incremental snowfall and wind event is adding an additional load bringing the weak layer closer to its tipping point. As a cohesive slab builds above the weak layer it could quickly become reactive to natural or human triggers.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Dec 9th, 2022 4:00PM