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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 10th, 2023–Nov 13th, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
Early Season
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be early season
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
Early Season
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be early season
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
Early Season
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be early season
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

The avalanche hazard will build through the day on Saturday. Ice climbers should expect avalanches in extreme terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Both loose and windslab natural avalanches are expected as the storm develops through Saturday and overnight to Sunday.

Over the past week, small slab avalanches were triggered and observed in lee loaded features and were posted to the mountain information network.

Snowpack Summary

At treeline snow depths are 15-30 cm. In the alpine, lee features have 40-80 cm of wind-loaded snow with a weak faceted base. The incoming storm may double the snowpack in a 24 hour period!

Weather Summary

Saturday 10-20 cm forecasted with highest amounts along the Divide and Hwy 93-N. Strong to extreme SW winds. Freezing levels 1600-1800 m with rain in the valley bottoms.

Overnight - Another 5-15 cm of snow with rain at the valley bottoms. Greater amounts will occur along the Continental Divide and along HWY 93 N.

Storm totals will range from 15-35 cm.

Sunday skies clear.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid lee and cross-loaded terrain.
  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind or rain.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

This problem will develop on Saturday with snow accumulation and loading from strong SW winds. The locations most enticing to ski/board will be where the problem exists. Climbers may find reactive loaded pockets on approaches or between pitches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Loose Dry

Saturday's forecasted strong wind and new snow will lead to a loose dry problem once the snow accumulates, particularly along the Divide and Hwy 93 N where amounts are expected to be greatest.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2