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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 6th, 2026–Jan 7th, 2026

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Lizard-Flathead, Akamina, Flathead, Lizard, Crowsnest South.

UPDATED AT 6 AM: Very dangerous avalanche conditions, natural avalanches are likely. Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Uncertainty is due to how quickly the snowpack will recover and gain strength.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported.

As the storm tapers off Wednesday morning, human-triggered avalanches remain likely.

On Monday, explosives triggered storm slab avalanches to size 2. Additionally, two natural cornice failures triggered storm slab avalanches to size 2.5 on the slope below.

Snowpack Summary

Roughly 30 cm of storm snow is being redistributed by strong southwest winds. This overlies wind affected snow at upper elevations and settling snow at treeline. A spotty surface hoar layer can be found in sheltered terrain features.

A melt-freeze crust that formed Dec 24 can be found down 40 to 60 cm from the surface at elevations around 2000 m and below.

The mid and lower snowpack is characterized by multiple crusts, with moist snow persisting near the base in some areas.

Snow depths at treeline generally range from approximately 100 to 220 cm.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night
Cloudy. 5 to 10 cm of snow. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

Wednesday
Mostly cloudy. 1 to 3 cm of snow. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

Thursday
Mostly cloudy. 5 to 10 cm of snow. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -9 °C.

Friday
Mostly cloudy. 2 to 10 cm of snow. 50 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy snowfall.
  • Only the most simple non-avalanche terrain with no overhead hazard is appropriate at this time.
  • Don't let storm day fever lure you into consequential terrain.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.