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Avalanche Forecast

Feb 26th, 2024–Feb 27th, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

UPDATED 8:10

We have received reports of concerning remotely triggered avalanches propagating widely and into lower angle terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, explosives control in the area produced several wind slab avalanches, up to size 1.5, in lee alpine features.

On a Saturday, a size 2, skier accidental wind slab avalanche was reported on a southeast-facing alpine slope on the Spearhead Traverse. The group was boot-packing up the slope when they triggered the 20 cm deep slab

Snowpack Summary

5 to 15 cm of storm snow and previous extreme southerly winds have built stubborn wind slabs in exposed lee features at higher elevations. Recent snow overlies a variety of surfaces, including a crust on south facing slopes and low elevations, and faceted snow and/or small surface hoar in sheltered terrain.

20 to 60 cm down is a layer of facets and areas of isolated surface hoar above a thick crust. This layer has produced concerning results in recent snowpack tests and is most concerning at treeline and above.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Mainly clear skies. 25 to 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -13 °C. Freezing levels remain at valley bottom.

Tuesday

Increasing clouds. 25 to 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -11 °C. Freezing levels remain at valley bottom.

Wednesday

Cloudy with 20 to 40 cm of snow. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature rises to -3 °C. Freezing level rises to 1300 m throughout the day.

Thursday

Mainly cloudy with 1 to 5 cm of snow. 10 to 25 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature rises to -3 °C. Freezing level hovers around 800 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Watch for wind-loaded pockets especially around ridgecrest and in extreme terrain.
  • Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Recent snow and extreme winds built stubborn wind slabs in lee features at treeline and in the alpine. Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the underlying crust. Human-triggering wind slabs remains possible.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of facets or surface hoar above a thick crust persists in the snowpack. If triggered wind slab avalanches may step down to this layer to create a larger, more destructive avalanche.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5