Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 26th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada lbaker, Avalanche Canada

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UPDATED 8:10

We have received reports of concerning remotely triggered avalanches propagating widely and into lower angle terrain.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, explosives control in the area produced several wind slab avalanches, up to size 1.5, in lee alpine features.

On a Saturday, a size 2, skier accidental wind slab avalanche was reported on a southeast-facing alpine slope on the Spearhead Traverse. The group was boot-packing up the slope when they triggered the 20 cm deep slab

Snowpack Summary

5 to 15 cm of storm snow and previous extreme southerly winds have built stubborn wind slabs in exposed lee features at higher elevations. Recent snow overlies a variety of surfaces, including a crust on south facing slopes and low elevations, and faceted snow and/or small surface hoar in sheltered terrain.

20 to 60 cm down is a layer of facets and areas of isolated surface hoar above a thick crust. This layer has produced concerning results in recent snowpack tests and is most concerning at treeline and above.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Mainly clear skies. 25 to 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -13 °C. Freezing levels remain at valley bottom.

Tuesday

Increasing clouds. 25 to 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -11 °C. Freezing levels remain at valley bottom.

Wednesday

Cloudy with 20 to 40 cm of snow. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature rises to -3 °C. Freezing level rises to 1300 m throughout the day.

Thursday

Mainly cloudy with 1 to 5 cm of snow. 10 to 25 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature rises to -3 °C. Freezing level hovers around 800 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Watch for wind-loaded pockets especially around ridgecrest and in extreme terrain.
  • Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Recent snow and extreme winds built stubborn wind slabs in lee features at treeline and in the alpine. Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the underlying crust. Human-triggering wind slabs remains possible.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of facets or surface hoar above a thick crust persists in the snowpack. If triggered wind slab avalanches may step down to this layer to create a larger, more destructive avalanche.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Valid until: Feb 27th, 2024 4:00PM

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