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Avalanche Forecast

Dec 31st, 2023–Jan 1st, 2024
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Carefully assess the bond of the recent snow with the old surface. Use caution anywhere the snowpack is thin and/or variable, where triggering is possible.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Old evidence of isolated storm slabs from lee terrain, and small loose avalanches from steep southerly alpine features (size 1) may still be visible near Whistler. On Friday, very large persistent slabs (up to size 3) were naturally triggered on Decker Mountain and Panorama Ridge in Whistler, with wide propagation from shallow rocky alpine northern slope. These avalanches involved up to 100-120 cm deep persistent weak layers that resulted in wide propagations.

Snowpack Summary

10-20 cm of new snow may be found over a recent thin melt-freeze crust up to 2000 m. Underneath, 65 and 130 cm of soft snow and heavily wind-affected snow overlies a layer of poorly bonded crusts and surface hoar. These have shown sensitivity to natural and remote triggers over the last 3 days. The lower snowpack is strong and bonded.

The snowpack at treeline has been rain-saturated, and a surface crust may form soon with upcoming cooling. Total snow depths remain below average, with 60 to 80 cm at treeline.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Partly cloudy, no precipitation, alpine wind southwest 20 km/h, treeline temperature around -5 °C, freezing level at 1200 m.

Monday

Mostly sunny, no precipitation, alpine wind southwest 20 to 30 km/h, treeline temperature around -3 °C, freezing level at 1200 m.

Tuesday

Cloudy, 5-7 cm of snow, alpine wind southeast 40 to 50 km/h, treeline temperature around -1 °C, freezing level at 1400 m.

Wednesday

Cloudy with isolated flurries, trace accumulation, alpine wind southeast 20 km/h, treeline temperature around +0° C, freezing level at 1500 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas, rock outcroppings and steep convex terrain where triggering is most likely.
  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the old surface.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Human-triggering will remain possible, especially on lee terrain and near ridge tops. If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers, resulting in larger-than-expected avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

Avalanches could be bigger than expected, as some recent avalanches have propagated widely on 50 to 100 cm deep crust and surface hoar layers. Be especially cautious anywhere the snowpack is thin and/or variable.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3