Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 11th, 2024 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeWatch for wind slab in unusual areas from strong northwest winds.
Factor cold temperatures and wind chill in your trip plan this weekend.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
During the storm on Tuesday, operators reported up to size 3 avalanches from natural and human triggers. Explosive control work continued on Wednesday producing size 1 in wind loaded features and up to size 2.5 in steep and unsupported terrain.
A machine remotely triggered an avalanche on a northeast facing slope at treeline on Tuesday. It's unknown what layer this avalanche failed on, likely within the recent storm snow or on the buried melt freeze crust.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 50 cm of recent storm snow overlies wind-affected surface in exposed areas and in sheltered areas a weak layer of surface hoar. Northwest winds are expected to build wind slabs at higher elevations.
A melt-freeze crust is found 60-80 cm deep and becomes thin and variable above 1900 m.
Another crust from early Dec is 80-150 cm deep. A few large avalanches observed in the region on January 6 are suspected to have failed on this layer. While this layer is now less likely to produce avalanches, it is most likely triggered in high elevation areas where the snowpack is thin and shallow.
Snowpack depths are 120-230 cm around treeline and decrease rapidly below.
Weather Summary
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy with isolated flurries. Northerly winds 20-40 km/h. Treeline temperatures drop to -22 °C.
Friday
Sunny with northerly winds 20-40 km/h. Treeline temperatures drop to -25 °C.
Saturday
Sunny with northerly winds 15-30 km/h. Treeline temperatures reach -15 °C.
Sunday
Sunny with northerly winds 20-30 km/h. Treeline temperatures reach -10 °C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
- Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Expect fresh wind slabs to be forming from northwest winds. Watch for reverse-loading patterns.
Wind slabs may step down to deeper weak layers, producing large avalanches.
Aspects: North East, East, South East, South, South West, West.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 12th, 2024 4:00PM