Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 12th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada wlewis, Avalanche Canada

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Northerly winds have built reactive slabs in a reverse loading pattern. Expect wind slabs on south facing slopes near ridgelines and rollovers, and watch for crossloaded features.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday wind slabs were triggered by riders, up to size 2 as northerly winds began to transport snow.

A machine remotely triggered an avalanche on a northeast facing slope at treeline on Tuesday. It's unknown what layer this avalanche failed on, likely within the recent storm snow or on the buried melt freeze crust.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 50 cm of available snow is being redistributed into wind slabs on south facing slopes from these (northerly) arctic winds. Slabs may overly wind affected surfaces or surface hoar in sheltered areas.

A crust is found 60-80 cm deep and becomes thin and variable above 1900 m. Reports suggest this is beginning to break down.

Another crust from early Dec is 80-150 cm deep. A few large avalanches observed in the region on January 6 are suspected of failing on this layer. While reports suggest this layer is becoming less reactive, it is most likely triggered in high-elevation areas where the snowpack is thin and shallow.

Snowpack depths are 120-230 cm around treeline and decrease rapidly below.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Clear skies with northerly winds 10-30 km/h. Treeline temperatures remain around -25 °C.

Saturday

Sunny with northerly winds 15-30 km/h. Treeline temperatures reach -15 °C.

Sunday

Sunny with northerly winds 30-50 km/h. Treeline temperatures reach -10 °C.

Monday

Sunny with northerly winds 10-20 km/h. Treeline temperatures reach -10 °C.

With unusually cold temperatures forecast for this weekend, check out the most recent Forecaster Blog for tips on backcountry preparedness.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Slabs are most prevalent at alpine elevations. Be aware wind loading may be found near ridgelines or lower on the slope than usual. Watch for crossloading in unusual features like mid slope gullies.

Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Valid until: Jan 13th, 2024 4:00PM

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