Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 20th, 2023 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeBe on the lookout for wind slab development with light snow and increasing winds. Keep in mind a problematic layer of surface hoar lingers deeper in the snowpack.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Sporadic reports continue to provide evidence that buried surface hoar layers remain human-triggerable in neighboring regions. Avalanches up to size 2.5 have mostly occurred in treeline and alpine terrain, but have been reported as low as 1950 m.
This Mountain Information Network (MIN) post from neighboring Glacier National Park is a recent example.
Snowpack Summary
Approximately 30 cm of recent snow has buried a layer of surface hoar in wind-sheltered terrain. A crust from the early December rain event is buried by roughly 50 cm of snow.
A problematic surface hoar layer is now roughly 50-90 cm below the surface.
The lower snowpack is generally facetted with a hard crust found just above the ground. The snowpack remains unseasonably shallow, with average treeline snow depths around 80 to 120 cm.
Weather Summary
Wednesday Night
Cloudy with 2 to 8 cm of snow, southwest alpine winds 20 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -2 °C.
Thursday
Cloudy with 0 to 5 cm of snow, southwest alpine winds 40 to 60 km/h, treeline temperature -2 °C.
Friday
Cloudy with 2 to 10 cm of snow, southwest alpine winds 40 to 60 km/h, treeline temperature -2 °C.
Saturday
Mostly sunny with no precipitation, northwest alpine winds 10 to 30 km/h, treeline temperature -8 °C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Uncertainty is best managed through conservative terrain choices at this time.
- Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
- Avoid areas where the snow feels stiff and/or slabby.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Storm and wind slabs will increase in reactivity with recent incremental loading and increasing winds Thursday.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
A layer of surface hoar is down 50-90 cm in the snowpack and has been the culprit of a number of scary, human triggered avalanches in neighboring regions.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 21st, 2023 4:00PM