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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 12th, 2023–Jan 13th, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Continually assess the snowpack for signs of instability with changing weather conditions. Expect hazard to increase as snow accumulates and freezing levels rise.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A number of small storm slab avalanches have occurred over the previous week, failing on a recently buried layer of surface hoar.

Please continue to share any observations or photos on the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

Expect continued surface slab development throughout the day with forecast snow and wind. Roughly 40 cm of recent snow has buried a layer of surface hoar in wind-sheltered terrain, primarily at the treeline and below.

A melt-freeze crust is buried by roughly 70 to 90 cm. This crust ranges from 2 cm at higher elevations to 10 cm at lower elevations. Below the crust, the mid-snowpack is generally well consolidated.

A weak layer of facets and a crust near the bottom of the snowpack continues to be a concern.

Treeline snow depths are roughly 160 to 220 cm.

Weather Summary

Thursday night

Cloudy with snow, 5 to 10 cm. Moderate south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperatures around 0 C. Freezing levels 2000 m by early Friday morning.

Friday

Cloudy with snow, 5 to 10 cm. Moderate to strong south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperatures around 0 C. Freezing levels 2000 m.

Saturday

Cloudy with snow, 10 to 15 cm overnight and 5 to 10 cm throughout the day. Moderate south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperatures around 0 C. Freezing levels 1600 m.

Sunday

Cloudy with light snow, 2 to 10 cm. Light south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperatures 0 to -5 C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for fresh storm slabs building throughout the day.
  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the old surface.
  • In areas where deep persistent slabs may exist, avoid shallow or variable depth snowpacks and unsupported terrain features.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Expect storm slab reactivity and size to increase throughout the day. In sheltered terrain, roughly 40 cm of recent snow may be overlying a weak layer of surface hoar.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

Human triggering of deep weak layers remains possible in terrain with shallow, variable snowpacks. Where supportive to riders, a melt-freeze crust may be providing a bridging effect, making it more difficult to trigger deeper layers.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5