Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 25th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mhalik, Avalanche Canada

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Dangerous avalanche conditions, natural and human-triggered avalanches are likely. Don't let storm day fever lure you into big terrain features

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday ski cutting produced numerous small avalanches in the reactive storm slab in the Lizard Range.

This MIN from last Thursday details a skier-triggered avalanche on the crust/facet layer found throughout the region.

With significant snowfall and strong wind in the forecast, the likelihood of both natural and human-triggered avalanches is primed to increase throughout the stormy period and remain elevated for several days.

Snowpack Summary

15 to 30 cm of new snow is expected to accumulate by the end of the day on Monday. This new snow will add to previous storm snow totals of around 20 cm.

Combined, the snow will be covering a sun crust on south and west-facing slopes and below treeline elevations. On north and east-facing upper-elevation slopes the storm snow and southwesterly winds are expected to form thicker and more reactive storm slabs.

A widespread crust formed in early February is buried 40 to 80 cm. In some areas, weak faceted grains have formed above and/or below the crust. The new snow may overload this layer creating very large avalanches.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Cloudy with 10 to 20 cm of new snow. 50 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Snow/rain line around 1200 m.

Monday

Mostly cloudy with 2 to 5 cm of snow. 25 km/h variable ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

Tuesday

A mix of sun and cloud with 0 to 2 cm of snow. 5 to 15 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -15 °C.

Wednesday

Cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of snow. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C. Freezing level rising to 1500 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, avalanches may run surprisingly far.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Use increased caution at all elevations. Storm snow is forming touchy slabs.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Storm slabs will be building on all aspects, but are expected to be deeper and more reactive on lee northerly and easterly slopes near ridgetops.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Weak faceted grains have formed above and below a crust that is buried 30 to 60 cm. There is potential for storm slabs to overload this layer, triggering much larger avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Feb 26th, 2024 4:00PM

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