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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 10th, 2024–Jan 11th, 2024
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Check out our Forecasters' Blog about factoring extreme cold into your trip plans. A small avalanche involvement could be a big problem in these temperatures.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Observations have been limited but reports from the early part of the week included:

-A natural size 2.5 (large) wind slab on a southwest aspect at treeline just north of Powder King on Tuesday.

-A few natural and ski cut size 1-2 wind slabs on southwest and northeast aspects in the alpine and treeline in Pine Pass, near Loos, and above Quesnel Lake on Sunday and Monday.

The mix of aspects here may already be telling us about reverse loading from north winds.

Snowpack Summary

About 10-15 cm of new snow fell in the region in the early week. It mainly buried wind-affected surfaces in exposed areas at elevation and otherwise added to about 30 cm of settling recent snow. Collectively, this snow overlies a crust up to 1400 m on all aspects, but it may sit over a weak layer of surface hoar in sheltered areas.

Two more layers of surface hoar can be found in the top meter of the snowpack at treeline. The likelihood of triggering these layers is low, with the possible exception being shallow, rocky areas at upper treeline.

The current snowpack has considerable variation in structure and depths across the region and is shallow for this time of year.

Check out this MIN report from Sugarbowl.

Weather Summary

Wednesday night

Clearing, still thin overcast. Northeast wind 30-50 km/h.

Thursday

Mainly sunny or thin overcast. Northeast wind 35-55 km/h. Treeline temperature -32°C.

Friday

Sunny. North wind 5-15 km/h. Treeline temperature -30 to -35°C.

Saturday

Sunny. Variable alpine wind 5-10 km/h. Treeline temperature -25°C to -30°C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
  • Use ridges or ribs to avoid areas of wind loaded snow.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Light new snow and elevated, shifting winds in the early week created new wind slabs to manage on a range of aspects. Continuing northerly winds may keep slab formation in progress on Thursday.

Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5