Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 28th, 2025 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includePrepare for increasing avalanche hazard as new snow and wind form reactive slabs atop a weak upper snowpack.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
On Sunday, a natural cornice fall triggered a large wind slab avalanche on a south-facing alpine slope. The slab failed on a buried crust, highlighting that while a significant load may be required to trigger avalanches, the potential for large avalanches remains.
Looking ahead, new snow is expected to be particularly unstable as it accumulates on a variety of weak layers in the upper snowpack, which could significantly increase avalanche activity.
Snowpack Summary
New snow will begin accumulating on Wednesday, overlaying a generally weak upper snowpack composed of several potentially weak layers.
Widespread surface hoar has formed over the past week, particularly around treeline elevations and below. In sun-exposed terrain, surface hoar may rest atop a thin crust, while elsewhere it sits atop a mix of old wind-affected surfaces and weak, faceted snow.
A widespread crust with facets and/or surface hoar, buried in mid-January, is located approximately 20 to 50 cm below the surface. Several other potential surface hoar layers, buried throughout January have also been reported at similar depths.
The mid and lower snowpack is generally well consolidated.
Weather Summary
Tuesday Night
Cloudy with 0 to 5 cm of snow. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.
Wednesday
Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of snow. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.
Thursday
Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of snow. 20 to 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.
Friday
Cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of snow. 40 to 60 km/h east ridegtop wind. Treeline temperature - 12 °C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Be careful with wind-loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and rollovers.
- Investigate the bond of the recent snow before committing to your line.
- Keep in mind a buried crust offers an excellent bed surface for avalanches.
- Be alert to conditions that change with elevation, aspect, and exposure to wind.
Problems
Storm Slabs
New snow and wind will start to form reactive, consolidated slabs atop a weak layer of surface hoar and poorly bonded upper snowpack.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 29th, 2025 4:00PM