Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 23rd, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs, Persistent Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada DK, Avalanche Canada

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The incoming storm is expected to bring continued strong winds and snowfall amounts of up to 10-20 cm between Friday evening and Monday morning. Use caution in areas which are exposed to overhead hazard and show evidence of wind slab development.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Strong winds are contributing to cornice growth and are producing wind slabs in areas where snow is available for transport. Three recent avalanches were observed in the Churchill group originating from steep, rocky terrain and ranged in size from 1.5 to 2.5. Increased avalanche activity is expected throughout the weekend as snow accumulates and the strong winds continue.

Snowpack Summary

The multiple buried crusts within the upper snowpack are starting to lose strength in some areas. The Feb 3rd crust is down 15-30cm in wind protected areas. Strong ridgetop winds are producing wind slabs in the alpine where snow is available for transport. The Persistent and Deep Persistent weak layers continue to produce sudden fractures in tests and have been reactive to cornice failures in steep, rocky terrain.

Weather Summary

The Mountain Weather Forecast is available at Avalanche Canada https://www.avalanche.ca/weather/forecast

Saturday's Weather Flurries with accumulation of 5-10 cm.

Alpine temperature: High -5 °C.

Ridge wind west: 25 km/h gusting to 70 km/h.

Freezing level at valley bottom

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas, rock outcroppings and steep convex terrain where triggering is most likely.
  • Minimize exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of runout zones.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Wind slabs and cornice growth continue to develop in the alpine.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

This weak layer is buried 20-40cm deep. Human triggering remains possible, particularly in shallow rocky start zones.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

The base of the snowpack is inherently weak and untrustworthy. Human and natural triggering of these basal facets remains possible.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Feb 24th, 2024 4:00PM