Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 5th, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Avalanche Canada, Avalanche Canada

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Winds are expected to increase. If you see blowing snow, expect to find fresh wind slabs.

Sticking to conservative terrain selection is your best defence against buried weak layers.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Friday, explosives triggered several small size 1-1.5 wind slab avalanches, with crowns 20-40 cm deep.

Thursday and Friday, natural and rider-triggered wind slab avalanches to size 2 were reported.

A persistent weak layer recently produced very large natural and human-triggered avalanches, including remote-triggering up to 1 km away. On Dec 28th this near miss surprised riders, and this MIN describes avalanches triggered from valley bottom.

Snowpack Summary

5 to 15 cm of recent snow covers older wind-affected snow. Easterly winds have reverse-loaded features and wind slabs can be found on various aspects. Soft snow still exists in sheltered terrain and in the trees.

Our primary concern is a persistent weak layer of surface hoar and facets overlying a crust. It is buried 50 to 100 cm deep in the southern parts of the region and up to 200 cm deep in areas north of Stewart. Several recent large avalanches have failed on this layer producing wide propagation.

The lower snowpack is well settled, with no deeper layers of concern. Treeline snow depths are around 160 cm.

Weather Summary

Sunday night

Mostly cloudy. 20 to 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Monday

Sunny. 30 to 70 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

Tuesday

Cloudy with flurries, up to 20 cm. 40 to 80 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C.

Wednesday

Overnight flurries, 15 to 40 cm snow by morning. 15 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6°C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • In times of uncertainty, conservative terrain choices are our best defense.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Increasing winds will quickly impact loose snow. Watch for blowing snow and check for reactive pockets under ridgelines and steep rolls.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Recent large avalanches have failed on weak grains over a buried crust. This weak layer has shown wide propagation across large terrain features.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Jan 6th, 2025 4:00PM

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