Avalanche forecast

Microwave-Sinclair

Mar 4 – 5, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 7 months ago

Avalanche danger

Fri
Sat
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Dangerous avalanche conditions exist on wind-loaded slopes, especially where wind slab overlies facets.

Sheltered terrain, away from overhead hazard will provide the safest riding.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Wind slabs remain likely at higher elevations, particularly during periods of snow and increased wind transport. Small wind slabs have the potential to step down to deeper weak layers in the upper snowpack.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–3

    A buried layer of facets in the snowpack is expected to be more reactive in wind-affected features, producing widely propagating avalanches.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are confident that there are persistent slabs in the snowpack, but uncertain about how likely they are to trigger.
  • We are uncertain due to the variability of wind effect on the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

Natural wind slab avalanches up to size 2.5 continue to be observed, likely occurring during periods of rapid loading due to strong winds. These have occurred on a variety of aspects, indicating variability in wind patterns.

Please post any photos or observations to the MIN if you head out.

Snowpack Summary

Recent snow over the last week has been redistributed by primarily southwest winds. Exposed terrain may be wind-pressed or scoured down to old crusts. While wind slab formation continues to occur in leeward or cross-loaded terrain.

Two notable layers exist in the snowpack. A layer of facets from early February, up to 40 cm deep. A thick crust from late January, 50 to 100 cm deep. Both of these layers are a concern in wind-affected terrain.

The remainder of the snowpack is well settled.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy. 2 to 5 cm of snow. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.

Wednesday
Mostly cloudy. 1 to 4 cm of snow. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1100 m.

Thursday
Mostly cloudy. 2 to 4 cm of snow. 60 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

Friday
Mostly cloudy. 3 to 10 mm of precipitation as snow or rain at treeline. 70 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 1 °C. Freezing level 1600 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Recent wind has varied in direction, so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.

Regions covered