Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 6th, 2025–Feb 7th, 2025

Alpine

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Alpine

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Alpine

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper, Brazeau, Churchill, Cirrus-Wilson, Fryatt, Icefields, Maligne, Marmot, Miette Lake, Pyramid.

Windslabs still linger at treeline and above, seek sheltered areas for the best skiing.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday a size 2.5 Deep Persistent Slab avalanche was observed in the Churchill area along the 93N. It was triggered by cornice fall and stepped down to the Deep Persistent layer.

Snowpack Summary

Wind has redistributed the 10-15cm of soft surface snow snow. This sits on a variety of surfaces depending on location, including melt freeze crusts, sun crusts, hard wind slabs, and soft faceted snow. The midpack is generally weak and faceted. At the bottom of the snowpack are the early season crusts, which are faceting and surrounded by large depth hoar. The snowpack is 70-130 cm in depth at tree line, and thins quickly below.

Weather Summary

Friday

A mix of sun and cloud. Precipitation: Nil. Alpine temperature: High -14 °C. Ridge wind light to 15 km/h.

Saturday

A mix of sun and cloud. Precipitation: Nil. Alpine temperature: Low -20 °C, High -16 °C. Ridge wind west: 10-25 km/h.

Sunday

Sunny with cloudy periods. Precipitation: Nil. Alpine temperature: Low -26 °C, High -19 °C. Ridge wind northwest: 10-25 km/h.

Terrain and Travel Advice

If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.