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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 12th, 2025–Mar 13th, 2025
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

The new storm snow is not bonding well to old surfaces, and human-triggered avalanches are likely.

Natural avalanche activity will spike on solar slopes when the sun is out.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday, continued evidence of a widespread natural avalanche cycle from last weekend's storm was reported. Most recently, a skier remotely triggered a size 2 slab avalanche from 75 m away on a northeast aspect at 2000 m. This avalanche reportedly stepped down to the mid-February interface.

Reactive storm slabs are likely on Thursday, especially in areas at upper elevations that see more wind effect.

Avoid solar slopes when the sun comes out.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 70 cm of snow sits above a crust on all aspects except on high north-facing terrain, where new snow buries 5 cm of faceted snow overlying a crust from earlier in March. This second crust likely doesn’t exist above 2100 m. Strong southwest winds continue to redistribute some of the fresh snow onto lee slopes at the ridgeline.

A layer of facets and surface hoar from mid-February can be found down around 90 to 110 cm, and snowpack tests are producing sudden planar results on it.

Another layer of facets and surface hoar from late January can be found down 110 to 150 cm.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Cloudy with isolated flurries up to 5 cm. 10 to 45 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C. Freezing level valley bottom.

Thursday

Cloudy with some sunny periods and isolated flurries. 15 to 30 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.

Friday

Cloudy with sunny periods. 10 to 15 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C. Freezing level valley bottom.

Saturday

Cloudy with 3 to 7 cm of snow. 15 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1300 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid freshly wind-loaded terrain features.
  • Keep your guard up as storm slabs may remain sensitive to human triggering.
  • Even brief periods of direct sun could produce natural avalanches.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Up to 70 cm of storm snow and strong winds have built reactive storm slabs. Back off if you encounter signs of instability like warming from the sun, whumpfing, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

Weak layers remain a concern in north-facing terrain where snowpack depth is variable. These layers are still adjusting to the new snow load and may be reactive to human-triggering.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3