Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Apr 13 – 14, 2024Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 2 years ago

Avalanche danger

Mon
Tue
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
No rating

Highlights

Sunny skies and high freezing levels are forcasted for Sunday. Start early and end early to take advantage of the overnight freeze.

It's still winter up high though; expect to find wind slabs on lee features in the alpine.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Ongoing moderate to strong winds have formed wind slabs on previous hard surfaces (sun crusts and old wind slabs). These have not bonded yet to the old surfaces.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1.5–3.5

    This problem seems to be most active where the March 19th crust is not supportive over the Feb 3rd weak layer (down 30-90cm) of facets over a crust. This problem remains a concern on shaded aspects above 2400m.

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Small wet avalanches are likely on steep slopes exposed to heat and/or sun. Watch your overhead exposure and use particular caution during the heat of the day when the sun is out. Moist or wet snow surface and pinwheeling are indicators of a weakening snowpack.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche observations.

Snowpack Summary

10-20cm of recent snow has been redistributed by South to SW winds in the Alpine. It is still very much winter conditions above 2800m. Solar slopes and all aspects at tree line and below have a plethora of crusts in the upper snow pack. The Feb 3 PWL is down 40-100cm and remains a concern on shaded aspects above 2400m. The basal depth hoar/facets are gaining strength in deeper snowpack areas.

Weather Summary

Mountain Weather Forecast is available at Avalanche Canada

Sunday

A mix of sun & cloud. Alpine temps: High 2 °C. Wind southwest: 10-25 km/h. Freezing level: 2400m.

Monday

Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. Wind west: 15-30 km/h. Freezing level: 1800m.

Tuesday

Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries (4cm). Wind northwest: 15 km/h gusting to 45 km/h. Freezing level at valley bottom.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be carefull around freshly wind loaded features.
  • Avoid shallow, rocky areas where the snowpack transitions from thick to thin.
  • Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.
  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.

Regions covered