Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2025Avalanche Canada
View on map
Archived · expired 2 years ago

Avalanche danger

Sat
Sun
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Moderate winds will redistribute incoming snow into fresh reactive windslabs that should be assessed before entering terrain.

Once triggered, windslabs may initiate larger deep persistent slabs.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Snow falling with moderate southwest winds will form windslabs in lee features.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–3

    A variety of crusts with facets above and below exist at the bottom of the snowpack. These layers are going to be with us for a long time and pose a low probability, high consequence situation if triggered.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Several natural wind slab avalanches to size 2 as well as smaller loose dry avalanches were observed in the Icefields area on January 29th.

Snowpack Summary

Incoming snow is falling on a variety of surfaces depending on location, including melt freeze crusts, sun crusts, hard wind slabs, and soft faceted snow. These overlie a generally weak and faceted mid-pack. At the bottom of the snowpack are the early season crusts, which are faceting and surrounded by large depth hoar. The snowpack is 70-130 cm in depth at tree line, and thins quickly below.

Weather Summary

Friday

Flurries. Accumulation: 8 cm. Alpine temperature: High -7 °C. Ridge wind southwest: 15 km/h gusting to 40 km/h. Freezing level at valley bottom.

Saturday

Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries. Accumulation: 4 cm. Alpine temperature: Low -21 °C, High -8 °C. Mostly light ridge wind occasionally gusting to 50 km/h. Freezing level at valley bottom.

Sunday

Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. Precipitation: Trace. Alpine temperature: Low -24 °C, High -18 °C. Ridge wind light to 15 km/h. Freezing level at valley bottom.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be mindful that deep instabilities are still present in the snowpack.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Regions covered