Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 22nd, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada isnowsell, Avalanche Canada

Email

Stormy conditions begin Friday, burying a weak, unconsolidated layer produced during the recent cold snap.

Summary

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

No notable recent avalanches have been reported. Expect avalanche activity to start with new snow, wind, and warming temperatures starting Friday.

Please continue to post your observations and photos to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

New snow will accumulate throughout the day, accompanied by strong winds. New snow will generally overlie a facetted, weak, unconsolidated layer formed during the recent cold snap.

A number of layers persist deeper in the snowpack, consisting of facets, surface hoar, and crusts.

Total snow depths are roughly 90 to 140 cm at treeline and up to 200 cm in the alpine.

Weather Summary

Thursday night

Cloudy with snow, 5 to 10 cm. Temperatures -10 to -15 C and mostly light south winds.

Friday

Cloudy with snow, about 10 cm. Temperatures of -5 to -10 C, and moderate to strong southwest winds.

Saturday

Cloudy with heavy snowfall, 30 to 40 cm. Temperatures around 0 to -5 C and strong south winds in the alpine. Freezing levels rise to roughly 1000m.

Sunday

Cloudy with snow, 10 to 20 cm. Temperatures around 0 C and moderate south winds in the alpine.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Storm slab size and sensitivity to triggering will likely increase through the day.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

New snow accumulating through the day will bury a sugary, weak, unconsolidated layer. Storm slabs will become increasingly reactive with continued snow, and wind through Friday and into the weekend.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A crust with weak, facetted snow above and below is buried by roughly 50 to 150 cm of snow. Although unlikely to be human triggered, smaller avalanches have the potential to step down, creating large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Valid until: Dec 23rd, 2022 4:00PM