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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 22nd, 2022–Dec 23rd, 2022
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Stormy conditions begin Friday, burying a weak, unconsolidated layer produced during the recent cold snap.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

No notable recent avalanches have been reported. Expect avalanche activity to start with new snow, wind, and warming temperatures starting Friday.

Please continue to post your observations and photos to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

New snow will accumulate throughout the day, accompanied by strong winds. New snow will generally overlie a facetted, weak, unconsolidated layer formed during the recent cold snap.

A number of layers persist deeper in the snowpack, consisting of facets, surface hoar, and crusts.

Total snow depths are roughly 90 to 140 cm at treeline and up to 200 cm in the alpine.

Weather Summary

Thursday night

Cloudy with snow, 5 to 10 cm. Temperatures -10 to -15 C and mostly light south winds.

Friday

Cloudy with snow, about 10 cm. Temperatures of -5 to -10 C, and moderate to strong southwest winds.

Saturday

Cloudy with heavy snowfall, 30 to 40 cm. Temperatures around 0 to -5 C and strong south winds in the alpine. Freezing levels rise to roughly 1000m.

Sunday

Cloudy with snow, 10 to 20 cm. Temperatures around 0 C and moderate south winds in the alpine.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Storm slab size and sensitivity to triggering will likely increase through the day.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New snow accumulating through the day will bury a sugary, weak, unconsolidated layer. Storm slabs will become increasingly reactive with continued snow, and wind through Friday and into the weekend.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

A crust with weak, facetted snow above and below is buried by roughly 50 to 150 cm of snow. Although unlikely to be human triggered, smaller avalanches have the potential to step down, creating large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3