Avalanche Forecast
Regions: East Kakwa, Kakwa, McBride, McGregor, North Rockies, Pine Pass, Renshaw, Robson, Sugarbowl, Tumbler.
Recent storm snow may take a bit more time to stabilize. Be particularly wary if your local area has more than 20 cm of new snow.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Tuesday saw a few small to large (size 1 to 2) wind slab avalanches out of steep alpine terrain. Otherwise, there was evidence of similar avalanche activity from the weekend's storm.
Snowpack Summary
New snow with strong easterly wind is forecast for Wednesday night. The snow will build on the 30 to 60 cm of accumulated snow since Saturday. All this snow overlies a hard melt-freeze crust and perhaps isolated surface hoar crystals in wind-sheltered treeline terrain. The snow may be deeper and touchier in wind-exposed lee features.
A weak layer of surface hoar and/or faceted grains buried mid-February is around 50 to 100 cm deep, but is showing signs of strengthening.
The lower snowpack is well-settled.
Weather Summary
Wednesday Night
Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of snow and local amounts of up to 20 cm possible. 20 to 40 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -16 °C.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy with 1 to 3 cm of snow. 10 to 20 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -14 °C.
Friday
Mostly sunny. 10 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -11 °C.
Saturday
Mix of sun and cloud. 40 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.
- Recent wind has varied in direction, so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.
- Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
- Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, or recent avalanches.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
All the recent snow may take a bit more time to stabilize. This is particularly true where it overlies weak surface hoar crystals and in wind-exposed terrain near ridges.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2.5